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Game: Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers Nov 8 2009 4:15PM
Prediction: Tennessee Titans
While the Titans finally got the monkey off their back by earning their first victory, the 49′ers lost their third straight. Granted, that was at Indianapolis and they played the Colts tough – so they can’t really be faulted for the loss. Still, the fact remains that they’ve now lost three straight.

While the 49′ers have been competitive in three of the four losses, it’s also worth noting that they’re 0-4 SU when facing a team from outside their division, including 0-2 SU vs. non-conference opponents. Now, not only are they being asked to win, but they’re even being asked to do so by more than a field goal.

The 49′ers have some other negative stats working against them. For starters, they’re now 0-11 SU in Week 5 through Week 9, the past few seasons. Even with last week’s cover, they’re still only 2-8-1 ATS over those 11 games. During the few seasons, they’ve also gone 3-8 ATS (4-7 SU) when facing a team with a losing record. Additionally, during the same stretch, they’ve gone a money-burning 1-8 SU and ATS when playing a home game with an over/under line in the 38.5 to 42 range.

Of course, with a 1-6 overall record, one could also find plenty of negative things to say about Tennessee. However, last week’s victory should do wonders for “team morale” and it should be noted that Fisher’s Titans have always fared very well vs. teams from the NFC. Indeed, they’re 7-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in non-conference games over the past few seasons. Looking back further and we find the Titans at a highly profitable 31-14-4 their last 49 games against NFC foes. (This will be their first non-conference game this season)

Including their cover at Pittsburgh at Week 1, the Titans are 4-1 ATS the last five times that they were listed as underdogs in the +3.5 to +9.5 range. That includes a 2-0 ATS mark as road underdogs in the +3.5 to +7 range. Consider grabbing the points.