Free NFL Picks

Denver (-3′) at WASHINGTON

I’m 8-2 with my last 10 FREE selections and today I’m loving the Broncos as they are in Washington to take on the Redskins.

Denver has got to be in desperation mode right now after having dropped two straight and the Chargers breathing down their necks in the AFC West Division standings. And they get the Redskins who can’t score more than 17 points, so if the Broncos can get three touchdowns, this is an easy cover.

The Broncos’ defense is third in the NFL in yards allowed at 280.2 and points allowed, 15.5 ppg. They can certainly stop teams as they’ve proven with excellent efforts against New England, Dallas, Cincinnati and a good effort in San Diego against the Chargers.

Washington is in a state of disarray with all the words going back and forth between former players, the ownership, coaches and players. The Redskins haven’t scored more than 17 points in a game this season and they have cashed in just one game this season. They are 0-4 ATS at home and last time they were here they gave up 27 first-half points to the Eagles and lost 27-17 as nine-point underdogs.

The Redskins are just 2-11-3 ATS in their last 16 overall, 1-6 ATS against teams with winning records, 1-4-1 as a home ‘dog and 0-5-1 in November contests.

I don’t see the Redskins’ offense putting up more than 14 points in this one while Denver will not only score on offense a few times, but I expect their defense to score. Lay the small chalk and play the Broncos as this one ends up 24-14.
4♦ DENVER